Prediction markets, event contracts, regulation, platforms, liquidity, and forecasting use cases.
54 articles
Polymarket's prediction market partnership with Yahoo Finance collapsed in under a year, raising doubts about whether such platforms can sustain.
Long-term prediction markets on Zoomex now hold 70% of platform activity, with bets on China unbanning Bitcoin and Satoshi's identity drawing millions.
Prediction markets hit $113 billion in Q2 2026, and crypto traders are now using them as real-time intelligence on regulatory risk and price moves.
Kalshi captured 96% of prediction market volume in one week by partnering with Robinhood and Coinbase, leaving Polymarket far behind.
Europe's top financial regulator says Polymarket and Kalshi lack EU authorization, threatening access to a prediction market sector worth $1 trillion by.
Trade.xyz launched prediction markets inside its crypto trading platform, giving its 55%-of-Hyperliquid user base event contracts beside perpetual futures.
Prediction markets show 50-50 odds on a September Fed rate hike and a Democratic 2026 midterm sweep, signaling genuine uncertainty on both fronts.
Gate's Event Contracts Builder lets brokers launch prediction markets on-chain, challenging Polymarket as GT surges 10.71% on the news.
Prediction market exchanges like Polymarket face no CFTC outage rules that regulated DCMs must follow, leaving traders exposed when platforms go dark.
Kalshi, the top U.S. prediction market, refuses to list contracts on its own Supreme Court case, even as sports betting drives 28% of its volume.
Polymarket now offers perpetual futures with up to 20x leverage across 67 markets, expanding far beyond its prediction market roots into crypto.
New Jersey is asking the Supreme Court to settle who regulates prediction markets, an industry that surged 1,900% to $38.5 billion in one year.
Kalshi's exclusive US Open deal signals prediction markets going mainstream, as sports contracts drove $41.2 billion in trading volume in August 2026.
Connecticut sued Kalshi over sports prediction markets, a battle that could force platforms to seek state licenses as industry volume hit $38.5 billion.
Prediction markets like Kalshi beat Wall Street forecasts on Fed rate calls, including the pivotal 50-basis-point cut in September 2024 that pros got.
Prediction markets price Bitcoin's $100K target at just 27.5% odds, exposing a stark gap between Wall Street forecasts and what real money actually.
Gemini and Apex are bringing prediction markets to mainstream brokerages as monthly trading volume nears $24 billion, up from $5 billion last September.
CME and Kalshi clashed at a CFTC roundtable over prediction markets, exposing a bitter divide between legacy finance and crypto platforms on regulation.
Polymarket referred dozens of military insider trading cases to the DOJ, as flagged accounts showed a suspicious 97% win rate on war-related bets.
Prediction markets hit $63.5 billion in 2025 trading volume, but a CME-CFTC clash over jurisdiction and manipulation could fragment the industry.
PredictBay launches with $26.1 billion in test volume, offering one-minute prediction markets on Sui blockchain to rival Polymarket and Kalshi.
Novig is suing Wisconsin to prove its sports contracts are federal derivatives, a ruling that could let prediction markets operate freely across all 50.
Sports prediction markets now drive $5.9 billion in weekly trading volume, with sports contracts overtaking politics as the dominant force in crypto.
Trump will meet crypto and prediction market leaders at the White House on August 19 as federal-state regulatory conflict over platforms like Kalshi.
Prediction markets face a regulatory squeeze as the CFTC probes manipulation in mention markets and JPMorgan dropped Polymarket as a banking client.
Asia's prediction markets generate billions in volume but zero tax revenue, as regulators lack frameworks to classify them as derivatives or betting.
AI traders score just 1.8 out of 5 on investment reasoning, revealing a logic gap that could distort prediction markets as platforms scale.
Gate Exchange topped Polymarket's prediction market channels in July 2026, driving $528 million in volume by making on-chain trading as simple as a.
Prediction markets hit $25 billion in volume as a Nasdaq-listed company anchors its entire treasury in Rain protocol, linking asset value to network use.
Prediction markets put the CLARITY crypto bill at just 30% odds for 2026 passage, as Senate sponsors still need seven Democratic votes with recess days.
Prediction markets surpassed crypto trading at Robinhood, generating $156 million in Q2 2026, a tenfold yearly jump signaling a major retail finance shift.
Binance.US will file for a CFTC prediction market license next month, joining Gemini and Coinbase in a race to dominate the fast-growing event contracts.
Polymarket runs two legally separate exchanges under one brand, and most traders never realize which one they're using until custody or resolution rules.
A federal judge blocked Minnesota's prediction market ban, letting Kalshi and Polymarket keep operating as courts weigh federal CFTC rules against state.
Event contracts settle at $1 or $0, making their price a live probability estimate, yet regulators still can't agree whether they're derivatives or wagers.
Robinhood is in talks to add Crypto.com's prediction market contracts as it surpasses 16 billion trades in 2026, reshaping competition in the sector.
Prediction market platforms can now launch in weeks using white-label solutions, as specialized firms offer turnkey infrastructure spanning regulated.
Polymarket traders assign a 78.5% probability to Bitcoin hovering near $67,500, signaling cautious optimism over aggressive bullishness in crypto.
Malta could become the first EU nation with standalone prediction markets rules, mirroring its 2018 crypto playbook to attract operators seeking legal.
DAZN is bringing prediction markets to 200+ countries via an exclusive ADI Predictstreet deal, letting fans trade on live sports outcomes without leaving.
Prediction markets and options on the same Bitcoin event can differ by up to 11 points due to funding costs, order flow, and regulatory gaps.
Coinbase's prediction markets hit $100M annualized revenue in under two months, powered by distribution, not innovation, as the category now outpaces U.S..
Prediction markets and crypto perpetual futures are merging into one product class, driven by a 2026 CFTC shift that unlocks onshore hybrid derivatives.
Blockchain.com embeds Polymarket into its app, letting 43 million users trade prediction markets without switching platforms or paying extra fees.
The SEC is reviewing 24+ prediction market ETFs that could let retail investors trade election and crypto outcomes through standard brokerage accounts.
Pantera Capital used AI to dissect prediction market microstructure on Polymarket and Kalshi, revealing how traders behave in minute-by-minute event.
Entrepreneurs are racing to build prediction market platforms rivaling Augur, using blockchain, smart contracts, and AI to unlock multiple revenue streams.
Prediction markets are getting smarter: a new API maps breaking news to live Polymarket odds, while BM Wallet lets users forecast events without leaving.
World, a fully onchain Solana prediction market inside Phantom wallet, lets users trade crypto prices, the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and more with no custody.
A $3 million Polymarket hack exploited a compromised vendor's frontend code, bypassing blockchain security entirely and draining 15 wallets averaging.
