Prediction markets, event contracts, regulation, platforms, liquidity, and forecasting use cases.
49 articles
Prediction markets surpassed crypto trading at Robinhood, generating $156 million in Q2 2026, a tenfold yearly jump signaling a major retail finance shift.
Binance.US will file for a CFTC prediction market license next month, joining Gemini and Coinbase in a race to dominate the fast-growing event contracts.
Polymarket runs two legally separate exchanges under one brand, and most traders never realize which one they're using until custody or resolution rules.
A federal judge blocked Minnesota's prediction market ban, letting Kalshi and Polymarket keep operating as courts weigh federal CFTC rules against state.
Event contracts settle at $1 or $0, making their price a live probability estimate, yet regulators still can't agree whether they're derivatives or wagers.
Robinhood is in talks to add Crypto.com's prediction market contracts as it surpasses 16 billion trades in 2026, reshaping competition in the sector.
Prediction market platforms can now launch in weeks using white-label solutions, as specialized firms offer turnkey infrastructure spanning regulated.
Polymarket's CLARITY Act odds crashed 26 points in one day to 39% as Senate Democrats opposed the crypto bill's ethics enforcement framework.
Prediction markets show 85% odds for a Fed hold in July while the 2028 presidential race stays wide open, with Vance leading at just 20%.
Polymarket traders assign a 78.5% probability to Bitcoin hovering near $67,500, signaling cautious optimism over aggressive bullishness in crypto.
Malta could become the first EU nation with standalone prediction markets rules, mirroring its 2018 crypto playbook to attract operators seeking legal.
DAZN is bringing prediction markets to 200+ countries via an exclusive ADI Predictstreet deal, letting fans trade on live sports outcomes without leaving.
Prediction markets and options on the same Bitcoin event can differ by up to 11 points due to funding costs, order flow, and regulatory gaps.
Coinbase's prediction markets hit $100M annualized revenue in under two months, powered by distribution, not innovation, as the category now outpaces U.S..
Prediction markets and crypto perpetual futures are merging into one product class, driven by a 2026 CFTC shift that unlocks onshore hybrid derivatives.
Blockchain.com embeds Polymarket into its app, letting 43 million users trade prediction markets without switching platforms or paying extra fees.
Polymarket is pursuing margin trading for prediction markets, a move that could unlock billions in liquidity but introduces liquidation risks and a.
The SEC is reviewing 24+ prediction market ETFs that could let retail investors trade election and crypto outcomes through standard brokerage accounts.
Kalshi is seeking CFTC approval to offer perpetual futures on gold and currencies, a move that could pit the $22B prediction market giant against CME.
Pantera Capital used AI to dissect prediction market microstructure on Polymarket and Kalshi, revealing how traders behave in minute-by-minute event.
Google will ban Chrome extensions for prediction markets on August 1, 2026, adding pressure on Polymarket and Kalshi as both face state gambling lawsuits.
Entrepreneurs are racing to build prediction market platforms rivaling Augur, using blockchain, smart contracts, and AI to unlock multiple revenue streams.
Prediction markets are getting smarter: a new API maps breaking news to live Polymarket odds, while BM Wallet lets users forecast events without leaving.
World, a fully onchain Solana prediction market inside Phantom wallet, lets users trade crypto prices, the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and more with no custody.
A $3 million Polymarket hack exploited a compromised vendor's frontend code, bypassing blockchain security entirely and draining 15 wallets averaging.
DraftKings launched DKeX, a prediction markets exchange hitting $3.4B in annualized volume its first week, challenging Polymarket and Kalshi directly.
Polymarket's prediction markets hit 73% overall accuracy, with political outcomes reaching 81%, outpacing pollsters and traditional media forecasts.
Prediction markets are on pace to hit $100 billion in 2026 volume, while DeFi and stablecoins fall well short of their midyear targets.
Kalshi is targeting a $40B valuation, nearly triple rival Polymarket's $15B, as regulated prediction markets pull ahead in the race for institutional.
Cboe, Nasdaq, and ICE are entering prediction markets via SEC-regulated binary options, sidestepping the gambling-law battles that crypto platforms like.
Prediction markets are going mainstream as Charles Schwab prepares binary S&P 500 contracts, raising fears of gambling culture, leverage risks, and.
Crypto wallets are becoming prediction market hubs, with Phantom's Kalshi integration leading a category that hit $63.5 billion in trading volume in 2025.
Prediction markets raised $216M in 2025, yet platforms still struggle to reach ideal users because mainstream ad networks keep misclassifying them as.
Hyperliquid added prediction markets to its DEX in May 2026, letting traders share collateral across futures and outcome contracts on one unified platform.
Japan's largest crypto exchange is freezing accounts linked to Polymarket, citing gambling laws that carry fines up to 500,000 yen for users.
Trump's crypto ventures earned $2.3 billion while retail investors lost matching sums, and ethics rules over those profits are now blocking landmark.
Prediction markets are abandoning Wall Street's algorithmic trading for social, community-based forecasting that prioritizes peer engagement over.
PolyMind launches a social prediction market that blocks high-frequency trading bots, letting friends bet on everyday events through locked positions.
Prediction markets are attracting the same young traders who flocked to Robinhood, but face identical risks from information asymmetries.
MEXC and KuCoin are integrating advanced prediction market tools beyond election betting, signaling a shift toward mainstream trading infrastructure.
Major trading firms like DRW and Wintermute are hiring prediction market traders as platforms like Polymarket hit $40 billion in volume.
Polymarket prediction markets assign a 98.7% chance the Fed holds rates steady in June 2026, revealing rare consensus among crypto-native forecasters.
South Korea launches its first criminal investigation into Polymarket users who bet on elections, as global prediction market volume hits $51 billion.
Prediction markets hit $1.6 billion in World Cup trading volume before kickoff, marking blockchain betting's leap from niche experiment to mainstream.
Bitget Wallet integrates Polymarket's prediction markets for 90 million users, targeting the 2026 World Cup with $1.2 billion in trading volume.
Galaxy Digital launches institutional prediction markets desk, enabling $10 million trades that dwarf retail platforms by 5x through private OTC.
Wintermute's entry into prediction markets signals institutional adoption as traders wagered $2.4 billion in five weeks during the 2024 election cycle.
Google engineer charged with insider trading after winning 22 of 23 Polymarket bets using confidential search data, netting $1.2 million.
Web3 blockchain market will explode from $5.1 billion to $52.6 billion by 2034, creating massive opportunities for prediction markets and DeFi.
