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Tether's U.S. Stablecoin Surges 540% in a Month, but Faces an Uphill Battle Against Circle and PayPal

Tether's U.S.-focused stablecoin USAT exploded 540% in April to reach $140.8 million in circulating supply, yet it still trails far behind established rivals like Circle's USDC and PayPal's PYUSD. The dramatic growth signals rising institutional appetite for regulated digital dollars, but also reveals how fragmented the stablecoin market has become as banks, fintech firms, and crypto companies compete for dominance under new U.S. regulatory frameworks.

USAT, which launched in January 2026, grew from just $22 million in March to $140.8 million by April 30, according to a reserve report signed by Deloitte and published on May 28, 2026. The token's reserve assets rose proportionally to $141.2 million, backing the full circulating supply. Despite this explosive growth rate, USAT remains a fraction of the size of its main competitors in the U.S. market.

Why Is Tether Playing Catch-Up in the U.S. Market?

The gap between USAT and its rivals reflects a fundamental shift in how stablecoins are being regulated and deployed. Tether's flagship stablecoin, USDT, dominates globally with a $189.6 billion market capitalization, but it operates under a regulatory structure in El Salvador that doesn't align with new U.S. compliance requirements. USAT was designed from the ground up to meet those requirements, issued through Anchorage Digital, a federally chartered crypto bank that Tether partnered with to enter the U.S. market.

The broader stablecoin market has grown past $319.6 billion in total value as of late April 2026, with transaction volumes reaching an estimated $46 trillion in 2025, more than 20 times PayPal's annual volume. Yet the market is increasingly divided along regulatory lines. Circle's USDC holds $76 billion in circulating supply and is now attested by Deloitte and regulated across more than 20 blockchain networks, positioning it as the compliance-first choice for institutions. PayPal's PYUSD, issued by Paxos, stands at $5.5 billion, while Ripple's RLUSD, which debuted in December 2024, has grown to $1.7 billion.

"The growth reflects increased use across institutional treasury operations, settlement flows, and regulated dollar liquidity management. The broader policy environment is moving in the right direction, and USAT is already operating in the kind of structure that institutions are asking for," said Bo Hines, CEO of Tether USAT.

Bo Hines, CEO of Tether USAT

The GENIUS Act, now enacted into U.S. law, fundamentally reshaped the stablecoin landscape by creating a federal framework for dollar-backed digital tokens. The law requires stablecoin issuers to back every token 1:1 with high-quality liquid assets and undergo regular audits, with implementation rules due July 18, 2026. This shift moves stablecoins from a gray-zone product into a licensed, audited financial instrument comparable to a money market fund.

How Are Institutions Using Stablecoins Differently Now?

The institutional adoption patterns reveal why USAT's growth, while impressive in percentage terms, still lags behind USDC. For B2B use cases like payroll, treasury management, and cross-border invoicing, USDC has become the default choice because it already meets the compliance standards that the GENIUS Act codified. USDT, by contrast, remains dominant in emerging markets where banking access is limited and dollar demand is high, but faces real uncertainty about its domestic U.S. strategy under the new regulatory regime.

Stablecoins are being deployed in ways that traditional payment systems cannot match. A stablecoin transaction can settle in less than a second for less than a cent, compared to the days required for debit or credit card transactions to fully settle. This speed and cost advantage is particularly valuable in remittance corridors, where near-instant settlement reduces foreign exchange pre-funding needs and improves cash flow visibility for the estimated 25 million U.S. households that are unbanked or underbanked.

  • Treasury Operations: Institutions are using USAT and other regulated stablecoins for internal cash management and operational liquidity, a use case that has driven much of USAT's recent growth.
  • Settlement and Payments: Stablecoins enable faster cross-border payments and settlement compared to traditional banking rails, reducing friction and costs for multinationals and smaller fintech firms alike.
  • Regulated Dollar Liquidity: Under the GENIUS Act framework, stablecoins now function as audited, reserve-backed instruments that institutions can rely on for regulated dollar exposure without counterparty risk.

The competitive landscape is also shifting as traditional financial institutions enter the space. JPMorgan's permissioned stablecoin for wholesale settlement and BNP Paribas joining a European consortium for a euro-backed stablecoin signal that bank-issued stablecoins are no longer exceptions but the direction of travel. Several U.S. regional banks have already applied for stablecoin charters under the GENIUS Act's bank-pathway provision.

What Does This Mean for the Future of Stablecoins?

Analysts project that stablecoin transaction volumes could grow dramatically over the next decade. Chainalysis estimates adjusted stablecoin volumes could expand from $28 trillion in 2025 to between $719 trillion and $1.5 quadrillion by 2035, with stablecoin transaction volumes potentially overtaking those of Visa and Mastercard between 2031 and 2039. Even conservative scenarios represent significant disruption at scale, with stablecoins expected to represent 3% of all U.S. dollar payments in 2026 and 10% by 2031.

The question facing the market is no longer whether stablecoins will matter, but which ones will survive and thrive under regulation. USDC is positioned as the institutional standard, USDT holds its ground in emerging markets, and a new class of bank-issued stablecoins is beginning to enter the field. USAT's 540% monthly growth suggests that demand for regulated U.S. dollar stablecoins is real, but the token will need to capture significantly more institutional adoption to close the gap with Circle and PayPal. The infrastructure shift is happening quietly, and the window for understanding it before it becomes impossible to ignore is narrowing fast.

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